中国煤炭产能过剩致因机理与治理政策研究评述

    Review of Coal Overcapacity's Genetic Mechanism and Its Governance Policies in China

    • 摘要: 受资源、安全、科技、环保、效益和国际化等因素的约束,煤炭科学产能日益成为引导市场供需平衡的关键因素和竞争利器。对煤炭科学产能的概念界定、产能过剩的致因机理及其调控政策等进行较为全面的文献梳理及研究,研究表明: (1)现有研究混淆了产品过剩、生产过剩与产能过剩的概念,煤炭科学产能建设应综合考虑资源、环境、经济、科技、安全的约束;(2)当前针对煤炭产能过剩的测度多是基于主观的判断或单一指标的分析,科学的、定量的实证分析几乎空白,数据缺失是其根本性障碍;(3)针对煤炭产能过剩成因机理的研究尚未形成一个逻辑性的分析框架,未来应基于利益相关主体的视角从企业逐利行为、地方发展冲动、市场供需变化以及中央与地方利益博弈等层面予以分析;(4)基于科学产能、可持续有效调控的政策体系形成机制需要设计,特别是根据资源、安全、科技、环保、效益等复合目标,煤炭产能调控的利益相关方的协调开发机制尚需完善。

       

      Abstract: With the constraints of resource endowment, production safety, mining technology, environmental pollution and economic benefit of coal industry, the issues of coal's scientific capacity are being closely watched, and the coal scientific productivity is increasingly becoming a key factor to guide market balance. According to the literature reviewed, the article analyzes the coal overcapacity's genetic mechanism and its corresponding governance policies in China. It shows that: (1)Most existing researches confused the concepts of surplus of products, overproduction and overcapacity, while the study of coal scientific capacity should take into consideration the effects of resources, environment, economy, science and technology, security constraint, and so on;(2)a lot of researches have been made on the evaluation of coal overcapacity, which are mostly based on subjective judgment or a single indicator analysis, while quantitative analysis of scientific evidence is almost blank, with missing data as the fundamental obstacle;(3)many studies on the causes of excess coal production capacity mechanism, have not yet formed a logical analysis framework, while future studies should be based on the perspective of the main stakeholders from the enterprises' profit-seeking behavior, impulsivity local development, changes in market supply and demand as well as the game between central and local government and other aspects to be analysis;(4)based on scientific productivity, the effective governance policies need to be designed, particularly in light of the composite targets for resources, security, science and technology, environment, economic and so on, while the coordinating-development regulation polices for stakeholder of China's coal productivity still need to be improved.

       

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