国防开支与收入差距:中国1980—2010年的经验分析

    Defense Expenditure and Income Inequality: Evidence for China, 1980—2010

    • 摘要: 从传统凯恩斯主义、国防相关行业的劳动力报酬、国防开支具体结构、国防开支挤出效应等方面探讨国防开支与收入差距相互影响的经济学理论机理。结合中国实际情况,从财政挤出效应、军事人员生活费、军工市场装备费、军人户籍、转业政策、国防研发、军事技术溢出效应、边远军事基地的区域拉动效应等方面分析中国国防开支改善收入差距的潜在作用机理。采用协整分析和格兰杰因果检验的方法对1980—2010年中国国防开支和基尼系数进行了实证分析。结果表明: 中国的国防开支构不成引致收入差距拉大的原因,相反在一定程度上改善了收入差距。要在军民融合发展战略的指导下,统筹经济建设与国防建设,理顺国防开支改善收入不平等的机理,更好地发挥国防开支的福利效应。

       

      Abstract: The possible theory causality mechanisms that defense expenditure may affect economic inequality from different perspectives were discussed including the Keynesian point of view, labor revenue of the defense industry base, composition of defense expenditure, and crowding effect. Then, the paper discussed the possible mechanisms according to the special case of China from the following perspectives: the redistribution channel, the personnel expenditure channel, the army industry channel, the household register channel, the R&D channel, and the area regional economy channel. After that, we examined the relationship between defense spending and income inequality in China for the period of 1980—2010.Utilizing basic cointegration and causality tests, we aimed to add to the literature by providing evidence that defense expenditure did not cause the income inequality for the case of China. China should balance economic development and national defense further to exert the economic welfare effect of defense spending according to the mechanisms under the development strategy of civil-military integration.

       

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