电子废弃物回收产业链多主体协同演化的仿真分析

    Co-evolutionary Simulation Analysis of Multiple Stakeholders in the E-waste Recycling Industry Chain

    • 摘要: 电子废弃物的循环利用是一个庞大的系统工程,涉及到多方利益相关者。基于利益主体协同演化视角,构建电子废弃物回收产业链中多主体的协同演化博弈模型,并在Vensim平台上进行仿真模拟,研究多主体演化均衡状态以及演化驱动因素。仿真结果表明:电子废弃物回收产业链中三方主体最终在政府不监管、消费者选择正规回收途径、企业主动加大环保投入处达到稳定均衡状态;政府、消费者和企业在电子废弃物回收产业链中分别充当系统演化的引导者、辅助者和推动者;政府的监管成本以及对企业的奖惩力度,企业获得的长期循环经济效益、成本和短期经济效益等因素是系统演化的主要驱动力。最后提出研究启示:在治理初期,政府对企业宜采取强硬手段;在治理中后期,政府对企业宜采取缓和手段;在治理全程,政府都应以强化消费者和企业的环保意识为重点。

       

      Abstract: The recycling of e-waste is a huge system engineering, which involves many stakeholders. From the co-evolutionary viewpoint of stakeholders, the paper built the co-evolutionary game model of multiple stakeholders in the e-waste recycling industry chain, and then made simulation analysis under the platform of Vensim, exploring the evolutionary equilibrium and the main driving factors of evolutionary. The simulation results showed that the e-waste recycling industry chain reached a stable state, in which the government's choice was supervision, the consumers' were formal recycling way and the companies took the initiative to increase investment in environmental protection;the government, consumers and companies respectively acted as guide, subsidiaries and pushers in the evolutionary process in the e-waste recycling industry chain;the government's supervision cost, the reward and the punishment, the enterprises' long-term circular economy benefit and cost and the enterprises' short-term economic benefits and so on were the main driving force of the evolution of the system. Finally, the research suggested that:in the early period of governance, government should take strong measures to supervise enterprises;in the middle and later period, government should adopt a moderate approach to enterprise;in the whole process, government should focus on strengthening the environmental awareness of consumers and enterprise.

       

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