国民经济动员中心动员潜力测度——基于系统动力学的建模与仿真
Research on Potential Measurement of National Economy Mobilization Center-Based on System Dynamics Modeling and Simulation
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摘要: 国民经济动员中心是一个在常态下的国民经济动员准备、危机状态下的国民经济动员实施,以及国民经济动员实施过程中的辐射与扩散基地为目标建设起来的组织形式。结合国民经济动员中心的特点,提出基于系统动力学的国民经济动员中心动员潜力测度理论。运用iThink计算机仿真软件平台,以生产型国民经济动员中心为例,构建基于系统动力学的生产型国民经济动员中心的潜力测度模型,运用动员潜力弹性和动员潜力测度系数两个创新性指标进行分析,并依据潜力测度结果为国民经济动员中心今后的潜力建设和管理提供具体的、可操作性强的相关政策和建议。Abstract: National economy mobilization centers are organizations built with three goals which are the national economy mobilization preparation under normal conditions, the national economy mobilization implementation under crisis conditions and the radiation and diffusion of bases in the process of implementing the national economy mobilization. Based on the system dynamic method, the manufacturing national economy mobilization centers' potential measure model is established applying the iThink computer simulation software platform. Two innovative indexes, elasticity and measure coefficient of mobilization potential, are used to analyze the potential condition. Based on the above analysis, the related policies and suggestions which are specific and easy to be manipulated are put forward for the potential construction and management of national economy mobilization centers.
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