中国制造业技术获取型对外直接投资的母国就业效应

    Domestic Employment Effects of Chinese Technology-seeking outward FDI from Manufacturing Industry

    • 摘要: 为了从理论上探讨中国制造业对外直接投资对国内就业的影响,以技术获取型对外直接投资为例,通过构建一个中间品生产部门可连续分割的国际分工模型,运用广义最小二乘法对中国制造业细分行业的对外直接投资与就业数据进行回归分析。结果发现:中国技术获取型对外直接投资既有促进就业的“规模”效应,也有抑制就业的“迁移”效应,且在资本供给弹性足够大的行业“规模”效应将超过“迁移”效应。

       

      Abstract: To theoretically discuss the domestic employment effects of Chinese manufacturing outward FDI,a international labor division model was constructed including an intermediate department which produces continuously dividable goods.Generalized least squares regression was used revealtherelationshipbetweenChinesesub-industriesofmanufacturingoutwardFDIandemployment.Results shows thatboth "scale effect" and "relocation effect" areexist,and the former would promote domestic employment while the latter reduce domestic employment. Besides,the scale effect would surpass relocation effect in industries which have elastic capital supply.

       

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