环境规制约束下的雾霾脱钩效应——基于重污染产业转移视角的解释

    Environment Regulation and Haze Decoupling Effect——Base on the Perspective of Heavy Pollution Industrial Transformation

    • 摘要: 分析环境规制约束下重污染产业转移对中国实现工业发展与雾霾污染脱钩的影响效应;探究环境规制约束下重污染产业转移对本地工业发展与雾霾污染脱钩的影响;根据重污染产业向外迁移的特点,提出"寻找污染天堂"式转移和空间邻近式转移两种模式,并分别验证重污染产业以上述两种模式进行转移时,对周边地区工业发展与雾霾污染脱钩的空间效应。结果表明:(1)重污染产业向外迁移显著促进了本地区工业发展与雾霾污染脱钩,且环境规制强度提高有助于增强重污染产业向外迁移的雾霾脱钩效应;(2)高环境规制地区重污染产业外迁对低环境规制地区雾霾脱钩影响不显著,但如果两地区环境规制强度差距拉大将导致高环境规制强度地区重污染产业外迁对低环境规制地区雾霾脱钩强度的负面影响;(3)重污染产业遵循空间邻近转移模式,由于雾霾污染具有强空间扩散性,导致周边地区重污染产业集聚或外迁均对本地区雾霾污染脱钩产生影响,但如果本地区提高环境规制强度,则会敦促周边地区重污染产业外迁至更远地区,降低周边地区重污染产业向外迁移对本地区雾霾脱钩强度的负面影响。

       

      Abstract: The paper analyzed the effect of heavy pollution industrial transfer to industrial development and haze pollution decoupling under the restriction of environment regulation. Firstly,the paper researched the effect of heavy pollution industrial transfer to local industrial development and haze pollution decoupling under the restriction of environment regulation. Then based on the characteristics of heavy pollution industrial transfer,it put forward two kinds of industrial transfer mode that were "seek for pollution haven" and space adjacent. And it inspected the spatial effect of the two modes to haze pollution decoupling. The result showed that:(1)heavy pollution industries transformation had significantly promoted local haze pollution decoupling,and environment regulation intensity increased had enhanced the effect of heavy pollution industries transformation to local haze pollution decoupling;(2)Heavy pollution industry transfer did not obviously took the ‘search for paradise transfer mode,but this negative effect would be more serious as the gap between the environmental regulation intensities of two areas escalates;(3)Heavy pollution industry transfer took the space adjacent transfer mode,surrounding areas' heavy pollution industry transfer may have obscure effect on own regional haze pollution decoupling; but if one region strengthened its own environmental regulation,the negative effect of surrounding areas' heavy pollution industry migration on one region's haze pollution decoupling intensity could be effectively reduced.

       

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