北京城镇居民碳排放的影响机理——基于LMDI分解法

    The Influence Mechanism of Carbon Emissions of Urban Residents in Beijing—Based on LMDI Decomposition Method

    • 摘要: 基于2006—2016年相关数据,运用LMDI-I加法分解法研究北京城市家庭中各要素分别对直接、间接碳排放的影响。结果表明:在2013年以前,北京市城市家庭以间接碳排放为主,2013年后直接碳排放量超过间接碳排放量,成为城市居民生活消费的主要碳排放来源。人均住房面积的增长和消费水平的提高分别是造成直接、间接碳排放上升的最主要推动因素,城区人口的增长对直接、间接碳排放都产生正向效用,而能源强度和能源转化系数的降低可以有效抑制间接碳排放的增长。

       

      Abstract: Based on the data from 2006 to 2016, the impact of various factors on direct and indirect carbon emissions in urban households in Beijing was studied using LMDI-I additive decomposition model. The research shows that, before 2013, the carbon emissions of urban households in Beijing were mainly from indirect carbon emissions, but the direct carbon emissions exceeded the indirect carbon emissions after 2013, which became the main source of carbon emissions for urban households' consumption. The increase in the living space per capita and the increase in consumption levels are the most important driving factors for the direct carbon emissions and indirect carbon emissions, respectively. The growth of urban population has a positive effect on both direct carbon emissions and indirect carbon emissions, while the reduction of energy intensity and energy conversion coefficient can effectively inhibit the growth of indirect carbon emissions.

       

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