大型石化项目风险管理与项目绩效的关系

    The Relationship between Risk Management and Performance for Large-scale Petrochemical Project

    • 摘要: 石化项目是复杂的系统工程,在实施过程中面临着很多风险,这些风险会影响项目的绩效。基于业主的视角,针对大型石化项目,突破过去常用的工期、成本、质量测量项目绩效的铁三角,将其扩展到工期、成本、质量、安全和环境五个维度,同时将风险管理分为风险管理承诺、组织风险文化、风险识别能力、风险分析能力、风险管理标准化。结合中国大型石化项目的调查数据,运用结构方程,研究大型石化项目的风险管理能力与大型石化项目绩效的关系,并分析大型石化项目的技术复杂度与组织复杂度对大型石化项目风险管理与大型石化项目绩效关系的调节效应。实证研究结果表明:大型石化项目风险管理可提高大型石化项目绩效;同时,技术复杂度和组织复杂度越高,风险管理对项目绩效的促进作用会越显著。

       

      Abstract: Petrochemical project is a complex system engineering. there are many risks in the process of project implementation, which affect the project performance. From the perspective of project owner, for large-scale petrochemical project, the project performance is divided into two dimensions: process performance and Outcome Performance, and the measurement of project performance is extended to five dimensions: time limit, cost, quality, safety and environment, which breaks through the iron triangle for the measurement of project performance: time limit, cost, quality. Meanwhile, risk management is divided into risk management commitment, organization risk culture, risk identification ability, risk analysis capabilities and risk management standardization. Combined with the survey data of large-scale petrochemical projects in China, the relationship between risk management and performance for large-scale petrochemical project is studied by structural equation model. In addition, the moderating effect of technical complexity and organizational complexity on the relationship between risk management and project performance is discussed. The empirical research shows that the project risk management can improve the project performance, the higher level of the technical complexity and the organizational complexity, the effect of the project risk management on the project performance is more remarkable.

       

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