对外直接投资与工业绿色转型基于中国省际面板数据的实证研究

    Outward Foreign Direct Investment and Industrial Green TransformationAn Empirical Study based on Provincial Panel Data in China

    • 摘要: 在构建“双循环”新发展格局的战略背景下,国内工业如何借助海外投资的外部优势实现绿色发展和转型升级,对如期实现碳达峰、碳中和目标具有重要的现实意义。基于2004—2019年的省际数据,尝试构建工业绿色转型指标体系,以宏观货币供给波动和省际近代开埠历史为基础设计工具变量,并利用两阶段最小二乘(2SLS)模型考察中国对外直接投资(OFDI)对工业绿色转型的影响。研究结果表明:中国OFDI显著推动了工业绿色转型进程,在替换被解释变量、缩短时间窗口、改变样本容量和控制变量滞后一期后,实证结果仍然稳健。另外,研究还发现产业转移、技术进步和资源补缺效应正向调节了对外直接投资影响工业绿色转型的效果。

       

      Abstract: Under a new “dual circulation” opening to the outside world, it is of great research significance and practical value for domestic industry to achieve industrial green transformation and realize carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals on schedule by the external advantages of overseas investment. Based on the inter provincial data from 2004 to 2019, this paper attempts to establish an index system for industrial green transformation, innovatively designs the instrumental variable concerning money supply fluctuation and modern opening history to alleviate the potential endogeneity, and systematically investigates the effect of China’s outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) on industrial green transformation. The main results show that OFDI can facilitate industrial green transformation. After utilizing the methods including the dependent variable replacement, time window shortening, sample size adjustment and control variables lagging to conduct robustness tests, the empirical result that OFDI significantly promotes industrial green transformation is still robust. Otherwise, industrial transfer, technology progress and resource shortage supplement positively regulate the impact of OFDI on industrial green transformation.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回
    Baidu
    map