碳捕捉与封存技术(CCS)商业化运营的融资激励机制

    Financing Incentive Mechanisms for Carbon Capture and Storage Technology (CCS) Commercialization

    • 摘要: 碳捕捉与封存(CCS)技术发展的最终目标是形成一个投资者自发参与、利益与公益并存的商业化运作模式,这一目标的实现必须有金融体系的支持。但由于CCS项目的高成本、高风险导致融资存在渠道狭窄、供不应求的困境。因此,设计了“政府财政补贴、风险分担+金融全业态联盟+供应链成本分担”的融资机制,并在政府作为外部因素的基础上构建了能源企业、CCS运营商和金融机构三方之间的演化博弈模型,以探讨不同时期CCS商业化运营的最优融资机制。研究结果显示:(1)政府财政补贴是几种融资机制中作用效果最快的,而金融全业态联盟则是最持久的;(2)在银行信贷风险方面,相比于政府针对银行的风险分担机制,降低当前CCS运营商面临的碳价风险更为有效;(3)在供应链融资机制中,CCS运营商的成本分担比例应适中,过高或过低都不利于CCS商业化的发展。此外还发现,CCS项目的运营模式应因企业而异,不可一概而论:商业化模式更适合于那些CO2累积排放量较低的中型能源企业,而那些CO2累积排放量较高的大型能源企业则更适合自营模式。CCS商业化运营模式及其融资机制的不断完善,将有效加快全社会减排效率的提升。

       

      Abstract: The ultimate goal of carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology development is to form a commercial operation mode in which investors participate spontaneously, and private interests and public welfare coexist. The realization of this goal must be supported by the financial system. However, current CCS projects are facing financing difficulties with narrow channels and in short supply. Therefore, in this paper, the financing mechanism of “government financial subsidies and risk sharing + financial industries alliance + supply chain cost sharing” was designed, and a tripartite evolutionary game model among energy enterprises, CCS operators and financial institutions was built, treating government as an external factor, to discuss the optimal financing mechanism for CCS commercialization at different stages of development. The main research results are as follows: (1) government subsidy is the most effective among the above financing mechanisms, while financial industries’ alliance is the most durable; (2) compared with the government’s risk-sharing mechanism for financial institutions, reducing the carbon price risk of CCS operators has a more significant impact on CCS commercialization; (3) in the supply chain financing mechanism, the cost sharing ratio of CCS operators should be moderate, too high and too low a ratio are not conducive to the development of CCS commercialization. In addition, it is also found that the operating model varies from company to company and cannot be generalized. That is to say, CCS commercialization would be more suitable for energy enterprises with lower cumulative CO2 emissions, and self-operated models would be more suitable for those large energy enterprises with higher cumulative CO2 emissions.

       

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