投资者情绪和上证综指关系的实证研究
An Empirical Analysis on the Connection between Investor Sentiment and the Composite Index of Shanghai Stock Exchange
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摘要: 投资者情绪是反映投资者的未来投资意愿或预期的市场人气指标,文章选择了央视看市投资者情绪调查数据作为投资者情绪指标的依据,分析投资者情绪指标和上证综指之间的关系。研究表明投资者情绪和上证综指有非常直观的联系和比较一致的运行趋势,有较强的相关性。投资者情绪指标为我们提供了分析投资者心理与行为模式的工具,监管部门也可以通过调节和引导投资者情绪来调控市场。Abstract: Investor sentiment is a market index which reflects investors' will or market trends in the future. The paper selects data from CCTV security column investigation about investor sentiment and analyzes the relation between investor sentiment index and the composite index of the Shanghai Stock Exchange. The results suggest that there are very close relations and relatively consistent trend and strong correlation between investor sentiment and activity. Investor sentiment index provides means of investor's psychology and behavioral modes analysis. Regulations department can control the rhythm of market movement by adjusting and regulating investor sentiment.
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