基于神经网络和决策树相结合的信用风险评估模型研究

    A Model Based on Combination of Neural Network and Decision Tree for Credit Risk Assessment

    • 摘要: 文章提出了一种将神经网络和决策树相结合的信用风险评估模型NN-DT。该方法依据属性重要性将贷款企业的财务指标进行排序,然后通过RBF神经网络进行属性裁减生成决策树,从而得出企业是否违约的分类。最后以判别分析以及C4.5 算法为参照方法进行了实证研究,结果表明,NN-DT模型显著地提高了预测精度。

       

      Abstract: The paper builds a credit risk assessment model based on combination of neural network and decision tree. The method ranks financial data of loan enterprise based on the importance of the attributes, prunes the attributes using RBF neural network and builds a decision tree. Therefore conclusions of classification can be drawn as to whether or not enterprises break a contract. Finally comparing NN-DT with methods of discriminate analysis and C4.5 algorithm, studies are empirically carried out, and NN-DT largely improves the prediction precision.

       

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