基于序贯博弈的房价形成机制研究

    A Study of House Price Mechanism on the Basis of Sequential Game

    • 摘要: 住宅是关系国计民生的基本问题之一,也是建设和谐社会的基础。本文建立了一个序贯均衡博弈模型,发现在宏观经济条件既定情况下,房价调控的关键是解决开发商与购房者之间严重的信息不对称,可能采取的措施包括:严禁炒房,调整住宅供应结构,将中央各项政策落到实处,培植住宅市场、促进市场竞争,进行相关税费改革等。

       

      Abstract: Housing is one of the most important issues for national interest and people's livelihood, it is also the basis for constructing a harmonious society.In this paper,a sequential game was established and several proposals were given to solve this problem. Besides it is found that the root cause of house price regulating is that real estate developers take much more advantage from information dominance compared with buyers. Finally the equilibrium forwards several proposals: the government should take measures to prevent real estate speculating, adjust the structure of house providing, take the central government's measures into practice, take plans to regulate the taxes and charges, and advance marketing competition.

       

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