农村劳动力转移与城乡收入差距的因应——来自全国29 个省市的经验数据

    The Cause and Effect Analysis of Rural Labor Mobility and Urban-rural Income Disparity-Based on 29 Provinces and Cities' Empirical Data

    • 摘要: 基于1995~2006 年的统计数据,对我国29 个省市的农村劳动力转移与城乡收入差距之间的关系进行了理论分析和实证分析。理论分析表明,农村劳动力向城镇的转移是城乡收入差距的影响因素,城乡收入差距也是农村劳动力转移的影响因素,二者互为影响。实证分析显示,农村劳动力转移是城乡收入差距的原因,城乡收入差距也是农村劳动力转移的原因,二者互为因果。鉴于农村劳动力转移对城乡收入差距所发挥的积极效应,应着力促进农村劳动力的合理转移以缩小城乡收入差距;同时,鉴于农村劳动力转移既受到非农收入边际效用的影响,又受到非农收入成本率的影响,为促使农村劳动力的合理转移,既要提高非农收入的边际效用,又要降低非农收入的成本率。

       

      Abstract: Based on the statistical data of 1995-2006 in China,the paper aims to carry out theoretical analysis and empirical analysis about the causal relationship between rural labor mobility and urban-rural income disparity.It finds that rural labor mobility and urban–rural income disparity reciprocally affect each other.Meanwhile there is a bilateral Granger causal relationship between rural labor mobility and urban-rural income disparity.Therefore,in order to reduce urban-rural income disparity,we should on one hand improve rural labor mobility,and on the other hand, in order to further promote the rural labor mobility,we must proceed from two aspects:increase the marginal utility of non-agricultural income and reduce its cost.

       

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