专业市场发展对经济转型影响的实证研究

    The Impact of Professional Market Development on Economic Transformation

    • 摘要: 根据江苏省1990—2008年的数据,采用计量分析方法对专业市场与经济转型之间的关系进行了实证分析,实证结果表明:专业市场发展与经济体制转型、经济结构转型之间存在着稳定的长期均衡关系,具有长期稳定和短期波动的特性;专业市场发展与经济体制转型、经济结构转型存在单向的Granger意义上的因果关系,专业市场发展是它们的因;专业市场发展给经济转型带来正面冲击效应。

       

      Abstract: According to the data for the year 1990-2008 of Jiangsu Province, this paper analyzes the relationship between professional market development and economic transformation. The empirical analysis results show that, there is a stable long-run equilibrium relationship among the professional market development, economic system transformation and economic structure transformation, which has short-term volatility and long-term stability characteristics; there is a one-way Granger causality from the professional market development to economic system transformation and economic structure transformation; the professional market development has a positive knock-on effects on economic transformation.

       

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