欧盟征收碳关税对我国出口贸易影响研究

    Study on the Impact of EU Carbon Tariffs on China's Export Trade

    • 摘要: 基于投入产出分析方法,分析欧盟对我国出口贸易隐含碳排放征收碳关税对我国出口贸易的影响。研究结果表明:碳关税的征收将会对我国出口贸易造成严重的影响,部门出口贸易额大、碳排放强度高是负担碳关税比较大的主要原因,被征收的碳关税主要集中于少数部门,碳关税的征收会直接影响这些出口部门企业的生存。因此我国应加快转变出口拉动型的经济增长方式到消费拉动型,提高能源利用效率,增加一次能源消费中清洁能源的比例,以及限制关键高排放部门的出口来应对可能出现的"碳关税"。

       

      Abstract: This paper used the Input-Output Model, analyzed the impact of EU carbon tariffs on China's export trade, based on implied carbon emissions. The results showed that: carbon tariffs would cause serious impact on China's export trade; huge export volume or high carbon intensity is the most important factor; a few sectors should pay the majority of carbon tariffs, and carbon tariffs will directly affect the survival of these export sectors. Therefore, China should accelerate the process of changing the mode of economic growth from export-led to consumption-led mode, improving energy efficiency, increasing the proportion of clean energy in primary energy consumption, as well as restricting the export of high emissions from key sectors to deal with possible "carbon tariffs".

       

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