养老保险与家庭消费:基于中国综合社会调查的实证研究

    Pension Insurance and Household Consumptions: Evidence from CGSS

    • 摘要: 基于中国综合社会调查(CGSS), 对养老保险的消费效应进行实证研究;通过倾向值得分匹配(PSM)方法消除个体购买养老保险的自我选择偏误;对城市家庭和农村家庭分别进行检验。研究结果表明:养老保险确实存在自我选择偏差, PSM方法能够很好地消除该偏差。基于PSM的实证结果证实:养老保险对于家庭消费有正向促进作用, 但是对于个别消费项目则表现出抑制作用。利用农村与家庭的分类样本进行实证研究的结果表明:养老保险对于城市家庭与农村家庭在个别消费项目上存在明显差异。

       

      Abstract: This article uses data from Chinese General Social Survey(CGSS)in 2010 to test the consumption effect of pension insurance. After dividing the self-section through Propensity Score Matching(PSM), we analyze the relationship between pension insurance and household consumptions. Results show strong evidence of consumption effect of pension insurance. People who have pension insurance also spend more on some items(e.g. Food, clothes and house). However, we also find the negative evidence between both on several items. The consumption effects on some items are different between urban residents and rural residents.

       

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